In the defining stage of India’s tour of England, 2025, England will return to challenge India in the 4th Test of the five-match series at Emirates Old Trafford, Manchester. After 9 days of break, the decider clash will start on July 23 to run until July 27 at 3:30 PM IST, while England lead the series 2-1.
Toss Prediction – Who Will Win Today’s Toss?
The rainy clouds are hovering over Old Trafford, with rain forecast, troubling India as the washed-out Test means a heartbreaking series loss for Shubman Gill’s team. The initial sessions are poised to favour fast bowlers, possibly exploiting overcast conditions. In further sessions after Day 1, the batters have more advantage to find run-scoring opportunities, while wrist-spinners can also settle in.
Our Toss Prediction: India likely to win the toss & choose to bowl first
Toss Record (ENG vs IND) – Current 2025 Series
| Match | Date | Venue | Toss Winner | Toss Decision | Match Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Test | June 20- June 24, 2025 | Headingley, Leeds | England | Elected to bowl | England |
| 2nd Test | July 2- July 6, 2025 | Edgbaston, Birmingham | England | Elected to bowl | India |
| 3rd Test | July 10- July 14 | Lord’s, London | England | Elected to bat | England |
| 4th Test | July 23- July 27 | Emirates Old Trafford, Manchester | TBD | TBD | TBD |
Historical Toss Record (ENG vs IND)
| Match | Date | Venue | Toss Winner | Toss Decision | Match Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Test | Jan 25-29, 2024 | Hyderabad | England | Elected to bat | England |
| 2nd Test | Feb 2-6, 2024 | Vizag | India | Elected to bat | India |
| 3rd Test | Feb 15-19, 2024 | Rajkot | India | Elected to bat | India |
| 4th Test | Feb 23-26, 2024 | Ranchi | England | Elected to bat | India |
| 5th Test | March 7-11, 2024 | Dharamsala | England | Elected to bat | India |
Toss Stats by Captains
England Toss Record (Ben Stokes):
- Matches: 36
- Tosses Won: 21
- Win %: 58.33%
India Toss Record (Shubman Gill):
- Matches: 3
- Tosses Won: 0
- Win %: 0
Considering past records, England’s captain Ben Stokes has more upside in terms of experience, but India’s captain Shubman Gill is going through his first Test series as a Test captain.
Pitch & Weather Report – Old Trafford, Manchester
- Bowling first is an ideal choice after winning the toss at Old Trafford, Manchester, as pacers dominate in the initial sessions.
- Batting on Day 2 is the best strategy to be in the game after troubling the opposition on Day 1.
- The weather is mostly cloudy on all five days from July 23 to July 27 as the overcast conditions prevail with possibilities of rainfall.
Read Also:- Most Wickets in a Test Match
ENG vs IND – Head-to-Head Record (TESTs)
| Total Matches | England Wins | India Wins | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 53 | 36 | 50 |
Probable Playing XIs
England Playing XI: Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Ollie Pope, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes(c), Jamie Smith(w), Liam Dawson, Chris Woakes, Brydon Carse, Jofra Archer, Josh Tongue, Gus Atkinson, Jacob Bethell
India Playing XI: Yashasvi Jaiswal, KL Rahul, Sai Sudharsan, Shubman Gill, Karun Nair/ Dhruv Jurel, Rishabh Pant, Ravindra Jadeja, Washington Sundar/ Kuldeep Yadav, Anshul Kamboj, Mohammed Siraj, Jasprit Bumrah
Match Prediction – Who Will Win Today’s Match?
India will allow possible changes in the playing XI following recent injury updates, as pacers Arshdeep Singh and Akash Deep are supposed to be dropped. The pace duo of Mohammed Siraj and Jasprit Bumrah will be poised to define the match. England will gain home advantage again with momentum on their side after winning the Lord’s Test at the 11th hour, snatching victory out of the jaws of defeat.
Win Probability
| Team | Win Chance |
|---|---|
| England | 50% |
| India | 31% |
| Draw | 19% |
Players to Watch
Best Batters:
England: Joe Root, Ollie Pope
India: Shubman Gill, KL Rahul
Best Bowlers:
England: Liam Dawson, Brydon Carse
India: Mohammed Siraj, Jasprit Bumrah
Final Prediction
- Toss Winner: India (likely)
- Match Winner Prediction: A draw match is on the cards in the 4th Test.
England amazed in the Lord’s Test, making a stunning comeback despite staying out of the contest for most duration of the match. On the other hand, India attempted to chase a crucial target and came quite close to it. Additionally, the rain forecast is a hurdle for either team to win this match.




